Kim Muir Chase Tips

Steve Mullington’s Predictions for the Kim Muir Chase

Coming back after a break, Royal Thief impressed at Punchestown, positioned for this race with a tactic that might bring notable success, especially with Mr J W Hendrick prepared for an unforgettable experience.

Include Mr Incredible, Beauport, Stumptown, and Angels Dawn in your forecast and tricast permutations for potentially high returns.

I have a sentimental connection to a band I personally didn't witness, Mr Mister, but their hit ‘Broken Wings’ resonates, much like these racing considerations.

There's a whimsical reasoning behind my horse selections for the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Handicap Chase, set for Thursday's conclusion at the Cheltenham Festival, both carrying the playful 'Mister' name.

Hopefully, your luck has held steady throughout the Festival, and securing a victory in the Kim Muir could pave a rewarding path to the Gold Cup day.

Enough with the musical references, it's time to focus on the horses I'm backing for the Kim Muir: Mister Fogpatches and Mister Coffey.

The long-standing Frontal Assault is tasked with a 145 ceiling mark, bringing some relief to his backers.

Is Frontal Assault truly deserving of his rating given his conditions compared to rivals? Yet, Gordon Elliott's knack could turn the tide in his favor.

Mister Fogpatches, under Pat Fahy’s charge, offers enticing prospects for the Festival, likely better suited for the Kim Muir than other entries.

Speculative bets for Mister Fogpatches in the Kim Muir, backed at 14/1 each-way alongside other considerations, present a tactical advantage.

Evidence of Mister Fogpatches's evolving skill is clear, with impressive placings like his third in the Cork Grand National and tighter runs at Cheltenham.

The latest performance in the Thyestes, despite adverse conditions, suggests Mister Fogpatches reaches a prime state.

Currently available at 14/1 for the Kim Muir with Sky Bet or Betfred, offering favorable terms, including NRNB, if he enters.

The Kim Muir demands keen amateur jockey skills, and Fahy’s engagement of top amateurs this season positions him strategically.

While some think of Mister Coffey as quirky, his undeniable talent shines through for savvy backers in specific betting strategies.

Taking a punt at Mister Coffey could be a wise choice: with high odds of 16/1 available four ways through bookies like William Hill, Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, and Betfred, it's worth a flutter now for the 5 places and NRNB. Even assuming no major pull-outs, his odds won't drop much on race day; in fact, pricing him near single digits wouldn't be surprising given the circumstances.

Mister Coffey is stepping up in class, but historically, when facing a 2m4f, like during trials at Aintree last April over hurdles, at Kempton during Christmas, or when battling in the Grade 1 Scilly Isles Novices’ Chase at Sandown Park against the remarkable L’Homme Presse, he’s shown an exhilarating finish.

Reflecting on the Scilly Isles’ performance, he outran Pic D’Orhy, rated mid-150s, who has since clinched a Grade 2 victory at Kempton Park.

In analyzing the split from the last fence in the back, Mister Coffey clocked in 2 seconds faster than the winner in the 3m handicap chase amongst contenders rated around 140. When measured against Dolos, a mid-140s winner from the 2m handicap chase that day, his time was almost identical.

During his Boxing Day run in the 2m4½f novices’ handicap chase at Kempton Park, even while racing wide and setting a strong pace—demonstrated because Jacamar emerged victorious from that pace—Mister Coffey completed the last circuit 3.4 seconds quicker than Tornado Flyer, the winner of the King George.

Acknowledging that King George’s race happened quickly on a longer route, it nonetheless highlights Mister Coffey's prowess while operating over a less than optimal distance or track direction.

A 16/1 each-way wager on him might be a steal if he performs brilliantly as expected!